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Red111
418020.7
49242.8
241244.0
Blue78
468233.3
803217.2
290311.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9552015011178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.8
33.734.6
Auto11.5
Teleop26.6
End5.9
red by 10.7
4682
#14
33.31.6
25.527.1
Auto11.8
Teleop15.1
End6.4
Second
492
#10
42.80.8
30.731.6
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.9
red by 25.5
8032
#32
17.22.6
17.119.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.9
Third
4180
#26
20.71.4
19.020.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End5.7
red by 9.3
2903
#30
11.31.6
11.513.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned