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Red118
198337.7
307025.8
593733.5
Blue109
297634.4
189934.2
902326.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041069095100110115120125130118109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.2
37.938.2
Auto13.0
Teleop18.2
End6.5
red by 3.3
34.40.0
35.735.7
Auto10.9
Teleop16.1
End7.3
Second
5937
#25
33.50.2
33.733.9
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End7.0
blue by 0.7
34.20.0
35.535.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End7.6
Third
3070
#22
25.80.2
26.026.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.3
End7.8
blue by 0.8
9023
#13
26.60.0
27.827.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End6.3