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Red91
198337.7
307025.8
593733.5
Blue114
824830.7
129427.9
94838.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10595020030040050091114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.1
37.837.7
Auto13.0
Teleop18.2
End6.5
blue by 0.5
948
#11
38.20.4
36.036.4
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End7.7
Second
5937
#25
33.50.1
33.633.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End7.0
red by 2.7
8248
#24
30.70.4
28.528.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Third
3070
#22
25.80.1
25.925.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.3
End7.8
blue by 2.2
1294
#15
27.90.4
25.726.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End8.7