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Red154
293050.2
291061.9
177820.2
Blue111
413138.6
451219.4
762739.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489650200154111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.4
61.962.3
Auto18.5
Teleop36.8
End6.6
red by 22.8
39.10.2
38.839.0
Auto12.6
Teleop17.8
End8.7
Second
50.20.4
50.250.6
Auto12.9
Teleop27.2
End10.0
red by 11.6
4131
#13
38.60.2
38.338.5
Auto8.6
Teleop22.1
End8.0
Third
1778
#30
20.20.4
20.320.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End7.0
red by 0.8
4512
#19
19.40.2
19.119.4
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.9