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Red100
594116.8
326810.0
291061.9
Blue44
408923.2
491528.2
468222.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747105010015020025010044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.91.5
37.536.0
Auto18.5
Teleop36.8
End6.6
red by 33.7
28.22.5
22.219.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Second
5941
#18
16.81.5
15.514.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
blue by 6.4
4089
#22
23.22.5
27.324.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End8.7
Third
3268
#31
10.01.5
16.414.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End1.9
blue by 12.8
4682
#23
22.82.5
17.314.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned