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Red16
451219.4
368111.8
903617.6
Blue99
491528.2
131840.3
94911.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485802040801001201401699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4512
#19
19.43.4
20.817.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.9
blue by 20.9
40.35.1
22.227.3
Auto12.4
Teleop20.8
End7.1
Second
9036
#17
17.63.4
11.58.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.9
blue by 10.6
28.25.1
18.123.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Third
3681
#26
11.83.4
14.010.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.0
red by 0.7
949
#28
11.25.1
12.517.7
Auto7.2
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned