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Red59
417321.9
368111.8
491528.2
Blue21
903617.6
177820.2
824816.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6039020801001201405921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.6
23.323.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
red by 8.0
1778
#30
20.22.1
13.611.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End7.0
Second
4173
#12
21.90.6
19.620.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End6.9
red by 4.3
9036
#17
17.62.1
8.16.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.9
Third
3681
#26
11.80.6
10.611.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 4.9
8248
#25
16.72.1
17.715.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed