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Red45
498017.2
94911.2
177820.2
Blue69
824816.7
298016.7
131840.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59642040801004569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#30
20.22.6
21.118.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End7.0
blue by 20.1
40.32.8
23.320.6
Auto12.4
Teleop20.8
End7.1
Second
4980
#32
17.22.6
18.215.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 0.5
2980
#15
16.72.8
19.016.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End5.7
Third
949
#28
11.22.6
17.114.5
Auto7.2
Teleop1.1
End2.8
blue by 5.5
8248
#25
16.72.8
17.514.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed