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Red29
298016.7
189926.8
368111.8
Blue90
131840.3
558818.9
635014.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5153203040607080902990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#20
26.82.2
22.119.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End9.0
blue by 13.5
40.34.5
27.732.2
Auto12.4
Teleop20.8
End7.1
Second
2980
#15
16.72.2
15.112.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End5.7
blue by 2.1
5588
#24
18.94.5
11.916.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Third
3681
#26
11.82.2
11.29.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 3.0
6350
#34
14.94.5
9.714.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsEarned