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Red102
468122.9
413138.6
468222.8
Blue26
94911.2
368111.8
290312.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64350208010010226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#13
38.62.6
28.731.3
Auto8.6
Teleop22.1
End8.0
red by 26.5
2903
#27
12.11.1
14.913.8
Auto0.6
Teleop7.9
End3.7
Second
4681
#10
22.92.8
13.916.7
Auto9.6
Teleop6.7
End6.7
red by 11.1
3681
#26
11.81.1
9.38.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Third
4682
#23
22.82.8
14.116.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.8
End6.6
red by 11.6
949
#28
11.21.1
12.711.6
Auto7.2
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsMissed