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Red45
290312.1
241234.5
304919.5
Blue100
252235.1
498017.2
368111.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68662040608010012045100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#16
34.51.9
30.828.9
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
blue by 0.6
35.11.7
32.834.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End7.0
Second
3049
#21
19.51.8
18.817.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End4.8
red by 2.3
4980
#32
17.21.8
21.323.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
2903
#27
12.11.8
13.812.0
Auto0.6
Teleop7.9
End3.7
red by 0.3
3681
#26
11.81.7
8.29.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsEarned