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Red85
594116.8
408923.2
252235.1
Blue107
292823.9
293050.2
558818.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7585406010012085107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.2
34.535.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End7.0
blue by 15.0
50.23.0
42.745.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.2
End10.0
Second
4089
#22
23.21.2
21.022.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End8.7
blue by 0.7
2928
#29
23.93.0
18.221.2
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Third
5941
#18
16.81.2
16.117.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
blue by 2.0
5588
#24
18.92.6
17.119.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned