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Red104
903617.6
298016.7
491134.5
Blue98
214735.5
468222.8
824816.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5971020408010012014010498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.7
32.234.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End9.5
blue by 1.0
35.52.4
34.937.3
Auto13.2
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Second
9036
#17
17.62.7
13.416.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.9
blue by 5.1
4682
#23
22.82.4
18.120.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.8
End6.6
Third
2980
#15
16.72.7
11.614.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End5.7
red by 0.1
8248
#25
16.72.4
12.414.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned