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Red135
417321.9
291061.9
189926.8
Blue109
252235.1
290312.1
491134.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117824060100140160180135109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.91.5
59.861.3
Auto18.5
Teleop36.8
End6.6
red by 26.7
35.10.9
35.736.6
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End7.0
Second
1899
#20
26.81.6
24.926.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End9.0
blue by 7.7
34.51.0
34.835.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End9.5
Third
4173
#12
21.91.5
20.321.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End6.9
red by 9.8
2903
#27
12.10.9
11.212.1
Auto0.6
Teleop7.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned