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Red108
20974.5
241234.5
293050.2
Blue47
297623.3
94911.2
214735.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8879406010012014016010847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.7
46.047.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.2
End10.0
red by 14.7
35.52.1
36.934.8
Auto13.2
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Second
2412
#16
34.51.6
32.834.4
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
red by 11.2
2976
#11
23.32.3
25.423.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End7.5
Third
2097
#33
4.51.6
3.04.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 6.6
949
#28
11.22.1
13.311.2
Auto7.2
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed