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Red56
413138.6
824816.7
498017.2
Blue57
491528.2
594116.8
382620.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61582040801005657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#13
38.60.6
26.225.6
Auto8.6
Teleop22.1
End8.0
red by 10.4
28.20.3
19.719.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Second
4980
#32
17.20.6
15.615.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End2.8
blue by 2.8
3826
#14
20.00.3
20.920.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End7.0
Third
8248
#25
16.70.6
14.714.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
blue by 0.1
5941
#18
16.80.3
14.013.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed