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Red73
48832.9
292823.9
131840.3
Blue83
491134.5
252235.1
408923.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106101501502007383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.7
41.040.3
Auto12.4
Teleop20.8
End7.1
red by 5.2
35.10.3
36.035.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End7.0
Second
488
#4
32.90.7
33.632.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.6
End7.6
blue by 1.6
34.50.3
35.435.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End9.5
Third
2928
#29
23.90.7
24.623.9
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
red by 0.7
4089
#22
23.20.3
24.123.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End8.7