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Red102
746146.2
371140.7
382622.6
Blue99
644337.5
410413.4
592034.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97692040608012014016010299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#14DQ
46.21.0
29.931.0
Auto11.5
Teleop26.4
End8.3
red by 8.7
37.51.7
32.434.1
Auto13.2
Teleop18.9
End5.4
Second
40.70.6
39.840.4
Auto12.8
Teleop21.6
End6.2
red by 5.8
5920
#10
34.91.7
24.526.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End10.3
Third
3826
#17
22.60.6
17.918.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End7.4
red by 9.2
4104
#20
13.41.7
11.112.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned