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Red74
387612.1
131843.3
292625.7
Blue119
413146.1
853232.5
281139.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511040608012014016074119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.5
43.842.3
Auto13.9
Teleop23.1
End6.3
blue by 2.8
46.11.2
41.642.8
Auto10.0
Teleop27.3
End8.8
Second
2926
#15
25.71.5
28.326.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End5.5
blue by 13.9
39.51.2
34.335.5
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End7.0
Third
3876
#23
12.12.3
19.317.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End5.8
blue by 20.4
8532
#24
32.51.2
25.626.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned