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Red90
214748.8
853232.5
469224.6
Blue129
746146.2
413146.1
410413.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98104608012014090129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.2
46.246.0
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
red by 2.6
7461
#14
46.23.1
44.547.5
Auto11.5
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Second
8532
#24
32.50.2
26.826.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 13.7
46.12.1
42.844.9
Auto10.0
Teleop27.3
End8.8
Third
4692
#22
24.60.3
20.019.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.2
red by 11.2
4104
#20
13.42.1
9.912.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned