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Red129
371140.7
406129.8
469224.6
Blue89
292625.7
592034.9
853232.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938905015020012989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.72.2
38.440.5
Auto12.8
Teleop21.6
End6.2
red by 5.8
5920
#10
34.90.0
30.330.3
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End10.3
Second
4061
#12
29.82.2
28.630.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End8.8
blue by 2.6
8532
#24
32.50.0
26.626.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Third
4692
#22
24.62.9
19.722.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.2
blue by 1.1
2926
#15
25.70.0
26.826.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed