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Red96
214748.8
406026.2
382622.6
Blue116
131843.3
292625.7
159520.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029140608012014016096116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.1
48.148.2
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
red by 5.4
43.30.3
41.842.0
Auto13.9
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Second
4060
#19
26.20.1
24.724.8
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End8.2
red by 0.5
2926
#15
25.70.3
26.827.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
3826
#17
22.60.1
21.521.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End7.4
red by 2.0
20.60.3
18.518.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned