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Red121
546828.7
746146.2
95541.3
Blue124
214748.8
683122.8
131843.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124119050100150200250300121124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#14
46.20.4
45.345.0
Auto11.5
Teleop26.4
End8.3
blue by 2.6
48.80.8
48.249.0
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
Second
955
#5
41.30.3
41.541.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.2
End6.3
blue by 2.0
43.30.8
42.042.8
Auto13.9
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Third
5468
#11
28.70.3
29.128.8
Auto9.2
Teleop12.3
End7.3
red by 5.9
6831
#25
22.80.8
21.822.6
Auto8.3
Teleop7.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned