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Red111
382622.6
49228.0
291067.9
Blue119
592034.9
413146.1
214748.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161066080100140160180111119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.8
64.063.3
Auto19.1
Teleop41.4
End7.1
red by 19.2
48.80.9
37.638.5
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
Second
492
#13
28.01.3
24.923.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
blue by 18.2
46.10.9
39.340.2
Auto10.0
Teleop27.3
End8.8
Third
3826
#17
22.60.8
18.617.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End7.4
blue by 12.3
5920
#10
34.90.9
23.624.5
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned