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Red128
644337.5
683122.8
95541.3
Blue93
406129.8
592034.9
292625.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099705015020012893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#5
41.30.5
41.141.6
Auto8.8
Teleop26.2
End6.3
red by 6.4
5920
#10
34.90.0
35.635.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End10.3
Second
37.50.5
37.337.8
Auto13.2
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 7.7
4061
#12
29.80.0
30.530.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End8.8
Third
6831
#25
22.80.5
22.623.1
Auto8.3
Teleop7.2
End7.3
blue by 2.8
2926
#15
25.70.0
26.326.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End5.5