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Red119
410413.4
131843.3
413146.1
Blue72
406129.8
592034.9
292625.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109975015020011972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.4
45.445.8
Auto10.0
Teleop27.3
End8.8
red by 11.2
5920
#10
34.90.7
35.634.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End10.3
Second
43.30.4
42.643.0
Auto13.9
Teleop23.1
End6.3
red by 13.5
4061
#12
29.80.7
30.529.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End8.8
Third
4104
#20
13.40.4
12.713.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End4.7
blue by 12.2
2926
#15
25.70.7
26.325.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End5.5