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Red126
406026.2
746146.2
281139.5
Blue121
413146.1
131843.3
410413.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181076080100140160180126121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#14
46.20.3
45.445.7
Auto11.5
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Level
46.10.3
45.846.1
Auto10.0
Teleop27.3
End8.8
Second
39.50.3
38.839.0
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End7.0
blue by 3.8
43.30.3
43.043.3
Auto13.9
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Third
4060
#19
26.20.3
25.425.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End8.2
red by 12.8
4104
#20
13.40.3
13.113.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End4.7