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Red102
172920.8
490929.2
107325.4
Blue102
115328.2
176828.1
5819.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8082204060100120140102102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.5
End10.9
red by 0.9
1153
#15
28.2
Auto6.6
Teleop13.5
End8.2
Second
25.4
Auto8.7
Teleop8.8
End7.9
blue by 2.7
1768
#10
28.1
Auto7.3
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Third
1729
#13
20.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End7.6
red by 1.4
58
#20
19.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.8
End5.0