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Red45
172920.8
151215.5
176828.1
Blue76
404114.5
490929.2
23820.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65673040506080901004576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#10
28.11.9
26.524.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.8
End8.0
blue by 1.1
29.20.5
25.125.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.5
End10.9
Second
1729
#13
20.81.9
19.117.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End7.6
red by 0.2
238
#18
20.60.5
21.421.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End6.5
Third
1512
#22
15.51.9
16.414.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.9
red by 1.0
14.50.5
15.215.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsEarned