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Red42
23820.6
17215.7
151215.5
Blue75
346734.7
242317.7
872415.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6776020401001201401604275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#18
20.64.1
28.924.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End6.5
blue by 14.1
34.70.6
25.726.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End8.2
Second
1512
#22
15.54.1
18.914.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.9
blue by 2.2
17.70.6
18.719.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.5
End6.0
Third
1721
#29
5.74.1
16.312.2
Auto0.2
Teleop4.4
End1.0
blue by 10.1
8724
#25
15.80.6
25.626.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned