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Red184
558640.1
11168.7
233863.1
Blue175
702161.1
248155.6
219437.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183156120140200220240260184175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
68.70.3
68.468.7
Auto17.1
Teleop41.0
End10.0
red by 7.6
61.10.4
60.761.1
Auto14.9
Teleop36.9
End8.1
Second
63.10.3
62.763.1
Auto16.4
Teleop37.5
End8.5
red by 7.5
55.60.4
55.155.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
Third
5586
#19
40.10.3
39.840.1
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End8.9
red by 2.5
2194
#17
37.60.4
37.237.6
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6