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Red135
17134.7
173647.0
11242.7
Blue136
219437.6
338128.3
248155.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231106080100140160180200135136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.4
45.847.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.8
End5.8
blue by 8.6
55.60.6
45.546.2
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
Second
112
#21
42.71.4
38.840.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 5.1
2194
#17
37.60.6
30.230.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
Third
171
#15
34.71.4
28.830.2
Auto13.9
Teleop14.3
End6.4
red by 6.4
3381
#39
28.30.7
29.129.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned