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Red127
282624.5
248155.6
369228.5
Blue90
465542.3
338128.3
853136.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610905015020025012790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.6
46.246.7
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
red by 13.3
4655
#30
42.30.7
36.135.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End7.3
Second
3692
#33
28.50.6
23.924.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 7.5
8531
#36
36.00.7
34.834.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End9.0
Third
2826
#28
24.50.6
21.722.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End4.3
blue by 3.9
3381
#39
28.30.7
29.829.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsMissed