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Red97
171620.7
11242.7
878227.5
Blue106
130625.6
616627.9
417432.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87682040608010012014097106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112
#21
42.70.8
40.341.1
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 10.2
4174
#24
32.53.9
23.127.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.3
End7.4
Second
8782
#35
27.51.4
23.424.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End7.8
blue by 0.4
6166
#32
27.92.3
21.824.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End5.3
Third
1716
#44
20.70.8
15.816.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End6.3
blue by 4.8
1306
#34
25.62.3
21.223.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsEarned