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Red121
638144.3
453129.6
417432.5
Blue115
710347.9
870134.0
401132.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112050100150200121115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#10
44.32.1
35.537.7
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End7.7
blue by 3.6
7103
#11
47.90.4
43.343.7
Auto15.2
Teleop24.3
End8.2
Second
4174
#24
32.53.5
27.030.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.3
End7.4
blue by 1.5
8701
#49
34.00.4
36.136.5
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End7.6
Third
4531
#23
29.62.1
26.628.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End8.1
blue by 3.1
4011
#38
32.60.4
30.530.9
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed