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Red90
369228.5
544233.3
91498.1
Blue78
30905.7
460753.0
379221.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779202040601001201401609078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#20
33.30.7
30.831.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End6.2
blue by 19.7
4607
#13
53.00.8
53.152.4
Auto13.3
Teleop30.6
End9.0
Second
3692
#33
28.50.7
24.425.1
Auto10.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
red by 7.4
3792
#48
21.10.8
20.619.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.9
Third
9149
#51
8.11.2
19.220.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.5
End3.1
red by 2.4
3090
#54
5.71.3
10.99.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed