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Red110
851638.8
874439.3
130625.6
Blue135
173647.0
761936.1
453129.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012120406080100140160180110135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.1
32.533.6
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End9.1
blue by 7.7
47.00.4
48.248.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Second
8516
#12
38.81.1
31.232.3
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1
red by 2.7
36.10.4
32.332.6
Auto8.9
Teleop19.6
End7.6
Third
1306
#34
25.61.1
24.825.9
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End6.5
blue by 4.0
4531
#23
29.60.4
29.029.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned