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Red130
248155.6
401132.6
297725.2
Blue56
616627.9
557626.5
757820.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116722040608010014016018013056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.8
48.450.2
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
red by 27.7
6166
#32
27.91.5
25.724.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End5.3
Second
4011
#38
32.61.8
31.333.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End7.5
red by 6.2
5576
#52
26.51.5
26.224.7
Auto10.9
Teleop8.5
End7.1
Third
2977
#46
25.22.9
23.826.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End4.9
red by 5.1
7578
#40
20.11.5
21.019.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed