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Red75
791524.7
109124.3
216939.9
Blue108
219437.6
878227.5
270437.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010020406012014075108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#16
39.90.2
35.435.2
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End7.8
red by 2.0
37.90.8
35.236.0
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End7.2
Second
7915
#53
24.70.2
21.821.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End3.8
blue by 12.9
2194
#17
37.60.8
32.933.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
Third
1091
#43
24.30.2
20.720.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.5
End4.2
blue by 3.2
8782
#35
27.51.3
23.124.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned