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Red177
460753.0
11242.7
590339.2
Blue92
270437.9
171620.7
216939.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131965015020017792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#13
53.03.9
47.751.5
Auto13.3
Teleop30.6
End9.0
red by 13.2
2169
#16
39.90.2
37.937.8
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End7.8
Second
112
#21
42.73.9
40.444.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 4.8
37.90.2
36.636.4
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End7.2
Third
5903
#22
39.25.6
30.536.2
Auto8.0
Teleop24.3
End6.9
red by 18.5
1716
#44
20.70.2
19.919.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned