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Red78
217529.7
30905.7
870024.8
Blue121
453129.6
327641.8
219437.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50117010015078121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#25
29.71.5
28.129.7
Auto13.1
Teleop11.2
End5.4
blue by 12.2
3276
#14
41.81.3
38.740.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Second
8700
#50
24.81.5
23.324.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End4.4
blue by 12.8
2194
#17
37.61.3
34.035.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
Third
3090
#54
5.72.0
3.75.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 23.9
4531
#23
29.61.3
28.229.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
6%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned