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Red116
313037.3
870134.0
282624.5
Blue64
802420.2
757820.1
11242.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103925015020011664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#26
37.30.2
37.437.6
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End7.9
blue by 5.4
112
#21
42.71.6
44.342.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Second
8701
#49
34.00.2
33.734.0
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End7.6
red by 13.8
8024
#47
20.21.6
21.820.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End6.9
Third
2826
#28
24.50.2
24.224.5
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End4.3
red by 4.3
7578
#40
20.11.6
21.720.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned