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Red116
313037.3
173647.0
460753.0
Blue139
327641.8
851638.8
465542.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15112250100200116139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#13
53.00.5
53.553.0
Auto13.3
Teleop30.6
End9.0
red by 10.8
4655
#30
42.30.4
41.241.6
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End7.3
Second
47.00.5
47.547.0
Auto11.4
Teleop29.8
End5.8
red by 5.2
3276
#14
41.80.4
40.741.1
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Third
3130
#26
37.30.5
37.837.3
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End7.9
blue by 1.5
8516
#12
38.80.4
37.738.1
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1