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Red160
219437.6
248155.6
702161.1
Blue142
327641.8
851638.8
465542.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512250100150200160142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.1
60.560.6
Auto14.9
Teleop36.9
End8.1
red by 18.8
4655
#30
42.30.5
41.842.3
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End7.3
Second
55.60.1
55.055.1
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
red by 13.8
3276
#14
41.80.5
41.341.8
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Third
2194
#17
37.60.1
37.037.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
blue by 1.1
8516
#12
38.80.5
38.338.8
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1