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Red170
219437.6
248155.6
702161.1
Blue135
460753.0
173647.0
544233.3
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813980100120180200220170135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.5
59.359.8
Auto14.9
Teleop36.9
End8.1
red by 8.1
4607
#13
53.00.0
53.553.5
Auto13.3
Teleop30.6
End9.0
Second
55.60.5
53.854.3
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
red by 8.6
47.00.0
47.547.5
Auto11.4
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Third
2194
#17
37.60.5
35.836.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
red by 4.3
5442
#20
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End6.2