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Red53
999218.4
220235.2
638134.5
Blue127
414348.2
319745.4
657442.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12314305010020025030053127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#13
35.24.2
42.137.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End7.6
blue by 13.0
48.20.7
54.653.8
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
Second
6381
#19
34.54.2
44.340.2
Auto6.7
Teleop22.2
End5.6
blue by 10.9
45.40.7
42.541.8
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
Third
9992
#18
18.46.9
28.922.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 23.9
42.30.7
35.835.0
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed51%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned