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Red181
220235.2
465539.7
219445.4
Blue131
179227.6
638134.5
319745.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811750100150200181131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.5
45.547.0
Auto10.7
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Level
45.41.0
40.641.6
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
Second
39.71.5
42.744.1
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
red by 5.3
6381
#19
34.51.0
40.141.1
Auto6.7
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Third
2202
#13
35.21.5
37.038.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End7.6
red by 7.6
1792
#16
27.61.0
30.231.2
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned