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Red150
353851.4
319745.4
999032.1
Blue160
870135.0
93064.9
179227.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513490100110120130140150160150160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.4
55.657.0
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
blue by 13.5
930
#1
64.91.5
63.464.9
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
Second
45.41.4
42.443.9
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
red by 10.3
8701
#11
35.01.5
36.337.8
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
Third
9990
#14
32.12.4
30.633.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
red by 4.5
1792
#16
27.61.5
25.627.1
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned