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Red95
173240.5
414348.2
353851.4
Blue123
657442.3
220235.2
999032.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1729505015020025095123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.44.0
56.052.0
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 9.1
42.31.4
37.438.7
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
Second
48.24.0
51.747.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
red by 13.0
2202
#13
35.21.4
33.034.4
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End7.6
Third
1732
#17
40.54.0
44.340.4
Auto13.0
Teleop21.6
End4.9
red by 8.4
9990
#14
32.12.0
32.334.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned