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Red100
206227.3
870135.0
319745.4
Blue97
219445.4
999032.1
999327.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116109020030040050060070010097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.2
43.742.6
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
Level
45.41.2
47.646.4
Auto10.7
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Second
8701
#11
35.01.2
36.735.5
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
red by 2.9
9990
#14
32.11.6
34.332.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Third
2062
#21
27.31.2
24.923.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End5.1
blue by 0.3
9993
#12
27.61.6
28.026.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned